After I wrote this post, about an hour later it was announced that Sam Altman had been fired. Later Greg Brockman and others have quit. Not to speculate too much about what this will mean over the next days, weeks, and months, but suffice it to say it increases the amount of unpredictability around OpenAI in particular and will have ripple effects across the industry. Those affected the most will be those who built solutions based on OpenAI or organizations building in dependencies on OpenAI.
There are many brilliant people at OpenAI, as long as the brain drain doesn't turn into a flood OpenAI should be okay. Since it seems like it's the deceleration people who have won out at OpenAI, we'll just have to wait and see how that affects their product roadmap.
Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, and others will form new companies, maybe together, maybe separately while raising large amounts of money from investors. Whatever the new venture or ventures will be, I don't think it will dissuade him at all in pursuing AGI. It's his life's work and he will surround himself with those who also want to build AGI.
This will not cause a long delay of the arrival of AGI. The splintering may actually accelerate its arrival. And also, AGI was also not dependent on what happened at OpenAI - there are many people working on AGI.
Whether AGI is delayed or accelerated, it will happen.
No comments:
Post a Comment